MODERATE IMPACT

Will Amazon and online shopping deliveries take longer and cost more?

Quick answer: Yes to both. Container shipping rerouted around Africa adds 2-3 weeks. Air cargo disrupted by 18% airspace closures. Amazon and other retailers are already warning of potential delays and shipping surcharges on many items, especially electronics and imported goods.

Last updated: March 13, 2026

What’s causing delays?

Three major disruptions are slowing deliveries:

  1. Container ships rerouted: The Strait of Hormuz closure forces ships around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 2-3 weeks per voyage and ~$1M in fuel costs per trip
  2. Air cargo disrupted: Airspace closures over the Middle East affect 18% of global air cargo, with flights rerouted on longer paths
  3. Port congestion: Rerouted ships are causing backup at alternative ports

(CNBC)

Which products will be delayed most?

Most delayed (2-4 weeks extra)

  • Electronics (components from Asia via Gulf routes)
  • Clothing and fast fashion (Asian manufacturing)
  • Furniture and home goods (bulky items, sea freight dependent)
  • Auto parts and accessories

Moderately delayed (1-2 weeks extra)

  • Beauty and personal care (ingredients often shipped internationally)
  • Toys and games (seasonal imports)
  • Kitchen appliances and small electronics

Least delayed

  • Books and media (largely domestic supply chain)
  • US-made products
  • Digital goods and gift cards
  • Groceries from domestic suppliers

Will prices go up on Amazon?

Yes. Retail prices could see increases of 3-8% on many categories:

  • Third-party sellers are already raising prices to cover higher shipping costs
  • Amazon’s own logistics costs are rising (fuel for delivery trucks)
  • Some products may see “shipping surcharges” added at checkout
  • Prime shipping speed guarantees may be harder to maintain for some items

Tips for online shoppers

  • Order early — don’t wait for items you know you’ll need
  • Check “ships from” location — US-based sellers/warehouses have shorter chains
  • Compare prices across Amazon, Walmart, Target — pricing differences are widening
  • Use Subscribe & Save — locks in current prices for recurring purchases
  • Watch for price gouging — report dramatically inflated prices
  • Consider local stores — may have inventory at pre-surge prices
  • Prime members: Items fulfilled by Amazon from US warehouses are least affected