MODERATE IMPACT

Will insurance rates go up because of the Iran war?

Quick answer: Shipping insurance has already surged 5-12x for Gulf routes. Marine hull insurance could rise 25-50%. Home and auto insurance may see gradual increases as repair and replacement costs rise with oil prices. Some insurers have cancelled war-risk coverage entirely.

Last updated: March 13, 2026

Shipping insurance: already surging

The biggest immediate impact is on maritime insurance:

  • War-risk premiums for Strait of Hormuz surged 5x to 12x from pre-war levels
  • Some insurers cancelled war-risk coverage entirely after Iran declared Hormuz “closed”
  • Marine hull insurance in the Gulf could rise 25-50% (Marsh estimate)
  • VLCC freight rates hit $423,736/day — up 94% in a single day

(Al Jazeera) (Seoul Economic Daily) (Reinsurance News)

How does this affect what you pay?

The shipping insurance surge creates a chain reaction:

  1. Higher shipping insurance = higher cost per shipment
  2. Higher shipping costs = more expensive imported goods
  3. More expensive goods = higher replacement values
  4. Higher replacement values = higher insurance premiums for consumers

Auto insurance

Auto insurance premiums may gradually increase because:

  • Car repair costs rising (parts shipping more expensive)
  • Replacement car values staying high (new car prices elevated)
  • Gas-related claims could increase if fuel theft rises
  • Comprehensive coverage adjustments for higher vehicle values

Home insurance

Home insurance is less directly affected, but:

  • Building material costs rising with energy and shipping prices
  • Homebuilders facing margin pressure from oil price volatility and shipping costs (HousingWire)
  • Replacement cost estimates may be revised upward
  • Natural disaster recovery costs increase when materials are scarce

Travel insurance

This is where consumers are most directly impacted:

  • War exclusions apply to many standard policies
  • Cancel For Any Reason (CFAR) coverage is the safest option
  • Medical evacuation costs from war zones are astronomical
  • Trip cancellation claims are flooding insurance companies

See our detailed travel insurance FAQ for more.

What to do

  • Review your policies now — understand what’s covered
  • Don’t let policies lapse — renew before potential premium increases
  • Shop around — compare quotes from multiple insurers
  • Increase deductibles to lower premiums if cash-strapped
  • Document your belongings (photos, receipts) in case you need to file a claim