MODERATE IMPACT

How does the Iran war affect Australia?

Quick answer: Australia faces higher petrol prices, disrupted shipping from Asia, rerouted flights to Europe, and potential economic slowdown. Petrol prices have already jumped and further increases are expected.

Last updated: 2026-03-12

Petrol Prices

Australia imports the vast majority of its refined fuel, making it vulnerable to global oil price shocks:

  • Petrol prices have already jumped since the conflict began
  • Australia’s fuel reserves are among the lowest in the developed world
  • Further increases are expected as oil remains above $110/barrel
  • Regional and rural Australians will be hit hardest, as they depend more heavily on driving

Flight Disruptions

Australian airlines have been forced to reroute:

  • Qantas: Perth-to-London flights now refuel in Singapore instead of transiting Gulf airspace, adding time and cost (CNBC)
  • Flights to Europe via Dubai, Doha, or Abu Dhabi are disrupted or cancelled
  • Expect higher airfares on all routes to Europe and the Middle East

Shipping and Trade

Australia’s trade with Asia and Europe is affected:

  • Goods from China, Japan, and South Korea that transit near the conflict zone face delays
  • Australian exports (iron ore, LNG, agricultural products) may see higher shipping costs
  • Online shopping from international retailers will take longer

Economic Impact

  • Inflation concerns: Higher fuel and shipping costs feed into consumer prices across the board
  • Reserve Bank of Australia: May delay planned interest rate cuts due to inflationary pressures
  • ASX (Australian stock market): Energy stocks up, airlines and consumer stocks down — mirroring global trends
  • Australian dollar: May weaken if the global economy slows, making imports more expensive

What Australians Can Do

  • Fill up your tank when prices dip rather than waiting until empty
  • Review household budgets — factor in higher petrol and grocery costs for the next few months
  • Check travel insurance if you have upcoming overseas trips, especially to Europe
  • Consider domestic holidays instead of international travel while disruptions continue
  • For investors: Review super fund allocations — defensive positions may be appropriate

Sources: CNBC, ABC News Australia, Reserve Bank of Australia commentary