MODERATE IMPACT

Will Uber and Lyft rides cost more because of the Iran war?

Quick answer: Very likely yes. Drivers are declining short trips that don't cover fuel costs, reducing supply. In 2022 when gas spiked, both platforms added $0.45-0.55 surcharges. Expect similar surcharges or higher base fares as gas stays above $3.50.

Last updated: March 13, 2026

Why will rides cost more?

Two forces are pushing rideshare prices up:

1. Drivers are declining unprofitable trips

With gas at $3.57/gallon (up 20% from $2.98 pre-war), many drivers are skipping short trips that don’t generate enough to cover fuel costs. Fewer available drivers = higher surge pricing. (CNBC)

2. Platforms will likely add surcharges

In 2022 during the last gas spike:

  • Uber added $0.45-$0.55 per trip
  • Lyft added $0.55 per ride
  • DoorDash, Uber Eats, Instacart added delivery surcharges

No platform has announced surcharges yet for the current crisis, but driver advocacy groups are pushing hard for them.

How much more will rides cost?

Pre-warCurrent estimateIf gas hits $4.50
$15 base ride$16-17 (surge)$18-20+ (surge + surcharge)
$8 short ride$10-12 (fewer drivers)$12-15
$50 airport ride$55-60$60-70

Wait times are also increasing as fewer drivers are on the road during non-peak hours.

Alternatives to save money

  • Public transit — if available, now significantly cheaper per trip
  • Carpooling — Uber Pool / Lyft Shared are cheaper than solo rides
  • Bike/scooter share — Lime, Citi Bike, etc. for short trips
  • Schedule off-peak — avoid surge pricing during rush hours
  • Compare apps — check both Uber and Lyft prices before booking
  • Subscription plans — Uber One ($9.99/month) gives 5% off rides